US Airstrikes Delay Iran’s Nuclear Program by Up to 2 Years, Says DOD

Key Takeaways

  • The Pentagon estimates U.S. strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities may delay their program by 1-2 years.
  • Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth suggested the damage from strikes was more severe but did not provide a specific timeline.
  • Ongoing assessments are improving clarity on the impact of the military actions on Iran’s nuclear ambitions.

U.S. Military Strikes on Iran’s Nuclear Program

The U.S. military’s airstrikes in June targeting Iran’s primary nuclear facilities have likely postponed the advancement of Iran’s nuclear program by one to two years, according to Sean Parnell, the Pentagon’s top spokesperson. In his first standalone briefing, Parnell stated, “We’re thinking probably closer to two years — like degraded their program by two years.”

This assessment emerges amid unclear expectations surrounding the extent of the damage inflicted by the airstrikes, which the administration previously stated “obliterated” Iran’s nuclear capability. Parnell reiterated this assertion during the briefing. However, an initial review conducted by the Defense Intelligence Agency reported by CNN suggested that the strikes might only delay Iran’s nuclear ambitions by a matter of months.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth expressed a contrasting view during a separate briefing last week, claiming the strikes caused more substantial damage without providing an explicit timeline. Hegseth did not contest the findings of the intelligence review but remarked that the assessments were premature.

Despite not specifying the new intelligence that led to his revised estimate, Parnell emphasized the belief that Iran’s nuclear capability had been significantly harmed. “We believe that Iran’s nuclear capability has been severely degraded, perhaps even their ambition to build a bomb,” he noted.

In late June, the U.S. military executed a series of coordinated attacks on Iran’s three main nuclear sites using a substantial array of precision munitions. This arsenal included over two dozen Tomahawk cruise missiles and an assortment of 30,000-pound bunker-busting bombs. These strikes built upon damage previously inflicted by Israel, which had initiated its own series of strikes against Iran shortly before the U.S. intervention, although its capabilities to challenge the fortified sites were limited.

As the situation develops, the Pentagon continues to assess the impacts of these military actions. Parnell assured that intelligence evaluations are ongoing, with the aim of providing more insights as new information becomes available. “The assessments are ongoing, and every day that goes by the intelligence picture that we have gets clearer,” he stated, indicating a commitment to keep the press informed of future updates.

In summary, the U.S. military’s strike on Iran’s nuclear capabilities has led to differing assessments regarding the impact and duration of any delays. As intelligence continues to evolve, the situation’s clarity promises to improve, though the exact ramifications remain under thorough evaluation.

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